INVESTIGATORS are not any nearer to discovering mum-of-two Nicola Bulley, who vanished with out a hint on January 27.
The 45-year-old was final seen on a canine stroll alongside a towpath in St Michael's on Wyre, Lancashire, at round 9.15am.
Cops worry the mortgage adviser fell into the river - which flows all the way in which to Morecambe Bay, Fleetwood - between 9.10am and 9.20am.
Police initially searched the river however moved to the Morecambe Bay shoreline - some 20 miles from the place she vanished.
Regardless of the in depth hunt, there was no signal of Nicola.
A number of leads emerged, together with a "tatty pink van" parked near the place she went lacking, two suspicious-looking hooded males within the space and a "stained" glove present in a close-by discipline.
Right here, The Solar On-line seems to be in any respect the theories about Nicola's disappearance.
HIGH-RISK CLASSIFICATION
Nicola was deemed a "high-risk" lacking individual when she vanished as a consequence of a "variety of particular vulnerabilities", police have confirmed.
This implies there was a "actual and fast hazard" to Nicola's security or that of the general public.
DS Smith stated: "That's regular for a lacking individual with the data we had been in possession of."
She confirmed this resolution was made after chatting with Nicola's boyfriend Paul however initially refused to enter extra element.
DS Smith described the matter as "private and personal", including that she wished to respect the household, who're going via "unimaginable ache and misery".
However the pressure later confirmed she had up to now struggled with alcohol consumption as a result of menopause.
Usually, police take into account an individual's age, whether or not they want treatment and if they've monetary, employment or relationship issues when assessing the extent of threat.
They can even take a look at whether or not the disappearance is out of character, if there's a suspicion of homicide and if they're on the Youngster Safety Register.
COASTLINE
The River Wyre flows via the southern finish of the bay and out into the Irish sea.
With cops working beneath the principle assumption that Nicola "fell into the river", divers spent days scouring the water for any signal of the lacking mum.
They later moved their search downstream, searching as distant as Morecambe Bay, Fleetwood.
Officers confirmed they had been specializing in the mouth of the river, with Lancashire Police suggesting discovering Nicola within the open sea is turning into "extra of a chance".
Specialist cops took to dinghies to comb the realm off the Lancashire coast.
Wearing darkish waterproofs, they bobbed via the clear blue water on the lookout for any signal of the lacking mum however discovered nothing.
'TATTY' RED VAN
Cops trying to find Nicola are additionally making an attempt to hint the proprietor of a "tatty-looking" pink van parked near the place she vanished.
A nervous resident noticed the suspicious-looking car, believed to be a Renault or Transit, exterior a barn.
A person in his 50s, who didn't wish to be named, twice reported it to cops.
He stated: "It was a shabby trying van, an older mannequin, the type you possibly can reside or work in.
"It was on a quiet lane close to a barn, with a few homes dotted round.
"Clearly, I don’t know whether or not this van is expounded to Nicola’s disappearance.
"All I do know is that one thing grabbed my consideration. I felt compelled to inform police about it."
The Solar understands a second witness additionally contacted police to report seeing the van within the space.
Lancashire Police confirmed it was making efforts to establish the proprietor however insisted there was no purpose to suspect it's something aside from considered one of many lots of of automobiles within the space that morning.
HOODED MEN
Two males reportedly tried to cover their faces close to Nicola's dog-walking route the day earlier than she went lacking.
An area stated the pair had been carrying fishing rods and seemed to be sporting hats or hoods at round 7.45am on January 26.
The witness stated: "It was very unusual. It made me uneasy."
He noticed one of many males once more the next day however did not assume a lot of it till he heard the information of Nicola's disappearance.
On reflection, he says, it was odd that they did not look like carrying a deal with or bait field and had been wrapped up heat when the climate was gentle.
At a press convention on February 15, police stated they didn't assume two males carrying fishing rods close to a river was suspicious.
PHONE
A specialist search and rescue staff from Specialist Group Worldwide (SGI) deployed a £55,000 Sonar to scan the River Wyre.
However they known as off their search after declaring Nicola was not within the water.
SGI's CEO Peter Faulding earlier gave blended theories about her disappearance - altering his thoughts all through the search.
At one stage, he informed BBC Breakfast he thinks Nicola's telephone - discovered on a bench after she went lacking and nonetheless related to a gathering - might be a "decoy" from a "third get together".
At a information briefing, Detective Superintendent Rebecca Smith stated it was regular for her to be holding her telephone out in entrance of her whereas on Groups calls which explains why the machine wasn't in her pocket.
CAR KEYS
A detailed pal of Nicola revealed the mum was carrying her automobile keys when she vanished.
There had been hypothesis the 45-year-old left them within the ignition of her Mercedes earlier than she disappeared, however her subsequent door neighbour has confirmed she had them on her.
Charlotte Drake informed Metro they had been more than likely in her coat pocket.
Nicola's husband Paul Ansell described the keys as having two Mercedes keyrings - one black and one blue.
Additionally on the bunch is a spherical picket key ring with paw prints and a few regular keys, he stated.
FITBIT
Nicola vanished whereas sporting her pale blue Fitbit - a watch which displays bodily exercise.
Cops reviewed knowledge from the machine however discovered it had not been synced for a number of days.
GLOVE
Police looking for Nicola confirmed a "stained" glove discovered close to the place she vanished doesn't belong to the mum.
The Solar revealed how officers had bagged up the clothes merchandise as proof after it was handed to them by two walkers.
Regardless of not being hers, cops are retaining maintain of it.
IN THE RIVER
Regardless of various theories, police are nonetheless engaged on the speculation that Nicola "sadly" fell into the River Wyre.
DS Smith, senior officer within the case, stated they've discovered no proof of a "legal side or third get together involvement" on this case, nor that she left the realm voluntarily, however they continue to be "open minded".
Ex-detective Julie Mackay, previously of Avon and Somerset Police, agrees with the speculation for 3 foremost causes.
These embrace the truth that no new info had given her a purpose to assume in any other case and that Nicola's disappearance was unlikely to be a legal act as a result of time it unfolded.
She additionally stated winter might be taking part in its half and making it tougher to search out the mum-of-two.
NOT IN RIVER
Cops are working with three hypotheses - Nicola is within the water, she left the realm voluntarily and that a third get together is concerned.
Whereas the pressure is specializing in the river idea as a consequence of no proof suggesting in any other case, officers stay "open-minded".
Diver Mr Faulding claims that if he couldn't discover the mum-of-two, his "intestine" feeling is there there might be a 3rd get together concerned.
He beforehand informed Sky Information that "none of this rings proper to me" and that "my perception is she’s not within the river in any respect".
The professional even claimed Nicola could "by no means be discovered" after his staff withdrew from the investigation.
Charlotte, who has lived subsequent door to the couple for 5 years, stated: "We’ve all stated from 11am on day one when the police confirmed up… 'She’s not in that river'.
"My intestine feeling stays the identical. I truthfully consider Nikki just isn't within the water."
Paul, who informed Channel 5 that his household was going via "unprecedented hell", added: "Intensive looking, as you are most likely conscious, has gone on in that river and the underwater rescue groups have fortunately discovered completely nothing.
"Personally, I'm 100 per cent satisfied it is not the river, that is my opinion.
"You can not stroll your canine down a river and simply vanish into skinny air.
"One thing occurred that day, one thing."
Different pals have additionally solid doubt on the belief.
Heather Gibbons informed Instances Radio: "Nikki’s a robust swimmer.
"She does that stroll steadily. She doesn’t typically go close to the river on that stroll."
And Nicola's sister Louise Cunningham wrote on Fb: "There isn't a proof by any means that she has gone into the river, it’s only a idea."
GARSTANG ROAD PATH
Cops are assured, after reviewing CCTV, that Nicola didn't go away the sphere close to the river through Rowanwater.
And she or he didn't return from the fields alongside Allotment Lane or through the trail on the rear of the Grapes pub onto Garstang Highway.
The findings have led them to concentrate on a particular path.
The monitor from the fields, the place she was final seen, to Garstang Highway in St Michaels on Wyre, could maintain very important clues.
Lancashire Constabulary are interesting to drivers and cyclists to return ahead who could have footage from the morning of Nicola vanished.
"Each piece of footage helps us construct up an image of actions on that morning", the pressure stated.
They stated they'd additionally ship letters to travellers they assume could have been driving down Garstang Highway that morning.
Solely drivers with dashcam footage are requested to electronic mail NicolaBulleyInvestigation@lancashire.police.uk to let police know.
INCONSISTENT CLUES
Mr Faulding, a rescue professional of 20 years, stated no indicators of drowning, a scarcity of proof on the scene and Nicola's clothes on the time counsel she is probably not within the River Wyre in any respect.
Chatting with MailOnline, he stated: "Usually when an individual drowns, if they're left a lot of days they do not transfer very far.
"This isn't a quick tidal river. So I might have anticipated her to be discovered by the police divers by now."
He went on to inform reporters that he believes Nicola is probably not within the river "in any respect".
Analysing her January 27 disappearance additional, Mr Faulding stated it "feels odd" there have been no marks on the scene.
He added the way it was additionally peculiar that not one individual heard screams.
BRIDGE FALSE ALARM
On February 6, scores of emergency service automobiles raced to the River Wyre as residents feared a regarding growth within the seek for Nicola.
A spokesperson for Lancashire Constabulary informed The Solar On-line: "We had been known as at 5.51pm immediately to Shard Highway, Hambleton, in relation to the seek for Nicola Bulley who's lacking from St Michael’s on Wyre.
"The search of the sand and surrounding space close to to Shard Bridge by Lancashire Police and the Coastguard proved unfavorable."
SOCIAL MEDIA
Fb, YouTube and TikTok are full of individuals speculating about what occurred to Nicola.
Many newbie detectives even travelled to the realm to "assist be part of the search".
However they confronted criticism for ignoring warnings from police, probably destroying proof and benefiting from her household's heartache.
Cops urged the general public to remain away however teams flocked to St Michael's on Wyre to scour derelict buildings and discover locals' again gardens.
Lancashire Police requested folks to not "take the regulation into their very own palms" and threat "thwarting" the investigation.
Sleuths had been warned in opposition to abusing witnesses or trying to interrupt into empty buildings as it's distressing to her household, distracting detectives and dangers prosecution.
Police are additionally analyzing Nicola's social media accounts, which the household is conscious of.
DS Smith warned this "may present Nicola as being on-line", including: "I wish to make this actually clear, now we have management of this telephone, this would be the police that's doing these enquiries and no one must be involved or contact the incident room about this."
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